NFL 2020-21 Conference Championships: Sunday NFL Picks and Plays

After a season that many thought wouldn't get going, we've reached Conference Championship weekend, with two HUGE games that could genuinely go either way.

Our predictive analytics model has simulated both games this Sunday a ridiculous 10,000 times before running the results up against the sportsbooks' odds to find the best team and player prop plays to make across the board.

Every team's Championship probability

Before we get into our suggested plays for Sunday's Conference Championship games, we'd be doing you a disservice by not letting you in on this deal from BetMGM. Basically, you can bet $1 on any team to win this weekend, and as soon as either team in that matchup scores a touchdown, you'll pocket a cool $100.

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Let's get into the slate ⏬

Bucs @ Packers 🏈

The opening game of the day pits Tom Brady up against Aaron Rodgers, with the latter's team favored by a field goal by the sportsbooks. Our model is continually simulating the game, and believes that the Packers are the much stronger of the two, with the -3 looking like the best bet you can make on the final result of this one.

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Our player props for this game is actually for a Bucs player, with WR Chris Godwin projected to go above the 63.5 receiving yards that have been set by most sportsbooks. Although we're taking the Packers to win, TB12 won't go down easy, making this play likely to hit.

If you're looking to place a bet on this player prop, or even another one you may have found in the Bucs @ Packers Hub then once you're signed up to the book, you just need to navigate to the page for this particular game and they make it pretty easy, splitting up sections such as 'quarterback markets', 'receiving markets' and more!

‍‍Bucs @ Packers Preview and Predicted Score

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Bills @ Chiefs 🏈

At the time of writing, we still don't know whether Mahomes will play or not (UPDATE: he's in!), but even then, this pick is based on him being IN. The Over/Under looks a little too high based on our data and even though the Over is the more fun bet, the Under is definitely the sharp play in this game.

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Lining up with this one staying Under the 54 points being set by the books, our model has Josh Allen falling short of 305.5 passing yards. Despite the win, he only threw for 206 last week against the Ravens and would need a significant jump against the reining champs to go up by 100 this week!

‍‍Bills @ Chiefs Preview and Predicted Score

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