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NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include LeBron James, Tyrese Maxey [2/4/2025]
Our expert analysis on Tuesday's NBA first basket market.

This Tuesday, February 4th, another big day of NBA basketball is on the menu, headlined by the Mavericks' matchup against the 76ers at 7:00PM ET.
After scrutinizing Tuesday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Tuesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Tuesday's NBA games are expected to feature star players such as LeBron James, Tyrese Maxey and Deandre Ayton, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for February 4, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
LeBron James (Lakers) | 16.2% |
Tyrese Maxey (76ers) | 14.2% |
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers) | 14.1% |
Pascal Siakam (Pacers) | 14.0% |
Joel Embiid (76ers) | 14.0% |
Tyler Herro (Heat) | 13.9% |
Jalen Brunson (Knicks) | 13.6% |
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls) | 13.5% |
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks) | 13.4% |
Darius Garland (Cavaliers) | 13.2% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is LeBron James, with a probability of 16.2%.
Following James closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Tyrese Maxey at 14.2% and Deandre Ayton at 14.1%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 2/4/2025]
After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1100
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 12.3%
- Game: Lakers vs. Clippers (10:00PM EST)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Lakers and Clippers. The bet is on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.0% according to our analysis.
Although Leonard doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Tuesday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those aiming for an edge on the market.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [2/4/2025]
- Mavericks vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- Knicks vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- Heat vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Lakers vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: February 4, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for February 4, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of our NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, February 4, are generated thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.