Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 28, 2026

The Denver Nuggets are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.

Our Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction gives Denver a 68.6% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Nuggets moneyline, too.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Nuggets 122-117 Pelicans
• Nuggets win probability: 68.6%
• Pelicans win probability: 31.4%
• Pelicans +4.5 spread: 51.7% cover probability
• Under 239.5 points: 50.6% probability

Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Nuggets moneyline: 64¢ (Novig)
• Pelicans moneyline: 36¢ (Novig)
• Nuggets -4.5: 51¢ (Novig)
• Pelicans +4.5: 49¢ (Polymarket)
• Over 239.5 points: 53¢ (Polymarket)
• Under 239.5 points: 48¢ (Polymarket)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans pick: Nuggets moneyline (64¢)

Our model makes the Nuggets the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Nuggets moneyline at 64¢ on Novig, too.

Those odds give the Nuggets an implied win probability of 64.0%, while our model puts it at 68.6%.

That's a 4.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans player projections

Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Nuggets star Nikola Jokic leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 26.6 points, plus 12.9 rebounds and 10.3 assists. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Nuggets' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• 1. Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 26.6 points\n2. Jamal Murray (Nuggets): 24.4\n3. Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 22.1\n4. Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 20.6\n5. Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 17.9

Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.

Get every Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Nuggets vs. Pelicans game details

• Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Smoothie King Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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