Nuggets vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Nuggets
- Pelicans
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Jokic | |||
| J. Murray | |||
| A. Gordon | |||
| D. DeRozan | |||
| C. Braun |
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Murphy | |||
| Z. Williamson | |||
| D. Murray | |||
| S. Bey | |||
| J. Fears |
Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Wednesday
- Teams: Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5, +104), Pelicans (+5.5, -104)
- Moneyline: Nuggets -185, Pelicans +182
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points (-115/+113)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Nuggets: 67.5%
- Pelicans: 32.5%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Nuggets 122 and Pelicans 117.
This is a margin of 5 points against a spread of 5.5, and a projected total of 239 points against a market line of 239.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 67.5%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 32.5%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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