NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Anthony Davis [10/28/2026]

Anthony Davis over 5.5 rebounds (49¢)

• Edge: 21.5%
• Probability: 70.5%
• Projection: 10.6
• Game: Wizards vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Wizards' Anthony Davis over 5.5 rebounds. A probability of 70.5% gives this play an edge of 21.5% at 49¢ odds.

Nikola Jokic over 5.5 assists (51¢)

• Edge: 19.2%
• Probability: 70.2%
• Projection: 10.3
• Game: Nuggets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Nikola Jokic’s assists prop shows a 19.2% edge at 51¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 10.3 assists on the over 5.5 line.

Alex Sarr over 1.5 rebounds (51¢)

• Edge: 19.4%
• Probability: 69.9%
• Projection: 6.2
• Game: Wizards vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Alex Sarr over 1.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 69.9% probability and a 19.4% edge at 51¢.

Christian Braun over 1.5 rebounds (51¢)

• Edge: 17.0%
• Probability: 68.0%
• Projection: 5.2
• Game: Nuggets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Christian Braun to put up 5.2 rebounds today, creating an edge of 17.0% on the over 1.5 line at 51¢ odds.

Joel Embiid over 14.5 points (36¢)

• Edge: 31.3%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Projection: 25.8
• Game: 76ers vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Joel Embiid over 14.5 points for 76ers, showing an edge of 31.3% at 36¢ odds.

Joel Embiid over 1.5 assists (51¢)

• Edge: 15.7%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Projection: 4.6
• Game: 76ers vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Joel Embiid’s assists prop shows an edge of 15.7% at 51¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.6 today.

Bam Adebayo over 9.5 points (37¢)

• Edge: 29.7%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Projection: 19.3
• Game: Heat vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Bam Adebayo for 19.3 points for Heat, creating an edge of 29.7% on over 9.5 at 37¢ odds.

Kyshawn George over 1.5 rebounds (50¢)

• Edge: 16.7%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Projection: 4.6
• Game: Wizards vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Kyshawn George for 4.6 rebounds, creating value on the over 1.5 line at 50¢ odds and a 16.7% edge.

Jamal Murray over 1.5 rebounds (50¢)

• Edge: 14.0%
• Probability: 64.0%
• Projection: 4.1
• Game: Nuggets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

A 14.0% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Jamal Murray a value play in Nuggets vs. Pelicans, with our model projecting him for 4.1 rebounds at 50¢ odds.

Tyrese Maxey over 3.5 assists (45¢)

• Edge: 18.9%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Projection: 5.9
• Game: 76ers vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Tyrese Maxey for 5.9 assists here, creating a 18.9% edge on the over 3.5 line at 45¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, October 28, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:41AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 28, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Anthony Davis, Nikola Jokic and Alex Sarr. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.