76ers vs. Pacers prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 28, 2026

The Philadelphia 76ers are favored to beat the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.

Our 76ers vs. Pacers prediction gives Philadelphia a 66.1% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the 76ers moneyline, too.

76ers vs. Pacers: Key predictions

• Predicted score: 76ers 119-115 Pacers
• 76ers win probability: 66.1%
• Pacers win probability: 33.9%
• 76ers -5.5 spread: 52.3% cover probability
• Under 235.5 points: 52.5% probability

Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.

76ers vs. Pacers odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• 76ers moneyline: -165 (fanatics)
• Pacers moneyline: 35¢ (Novig)
• 76ers -5.5: 51¢ (Novig)
• Pacers +5.5: 50¢ (Novig)
• Over 235.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 235.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

76ers vs. Pacers pick: 76ers moneyline (-165)

Our model makes the 76ers the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the 76ers moneyline at -165 on Fanatics, too.

Those odds give the 76ers an implied win probability of 62.3%, while our model puts it at 66.1%.

That's a 3.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

76ers vs. Pacers player projections

Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Sixers star Joel Embiid leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 25.8 points, plus 8.7 rebounds and 4.7 assists. The 76ers have four players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Pacers' one.

Top 5 projected scorers

• 1. Joel Embiid (76ers): 25.8 points\n2. Jaylen Brown (76ers): 24.7\n3. Tyrese Maxey (76ers): 24.4\n4. Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 22.6\n5. LeBron James (76ers): 19.1

Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

76ers vs. Pacers game details

• Matchup: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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