Spurs vs. Jazz prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 28, 2026

The San Antonio Spurs are favored to beat the Utah Jazz at Delta Center on Wednesday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.

Our Spurs vs. Jazz prediction gives San Antonio an 82.2% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Jazz to cover at +12.5.

Spurs vs. Jazz: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Spurs 122-111 Jazz
• Spurs win probability: 82.2%
• Jazz win probability: 17.8%
• Jazz +12.5 spread: 56.0% cover probability
• Under 233.5 points: 51.4% probability

Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.

Spurs vs. Jazz odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Spurs moneyline: 85¢ (Novig)
• Jazz moneyline: 16¢ (Novig)
• Spurs -12.5: -116 (FanDuel)
• Jazz +12.5: 51¢ (Kalshi)
• Over 233.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
• Under 233.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Spurs vs. Jazz pick: Jazz +12.5 (51¢)

Our model makes the Spurs the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Jazz to cover the +12.5 spread at 51¢ on Kalshi.

Those odds give the Jazz an implied cover probability of 50.7%, while our model puts it at 56.0%.

That's a 5.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Spurs vs. Jazz player projections

Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Spurs star Victor Wembanyama leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 25.8 points, plus 11.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists. The Spurs have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Jazz's two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• 1. Victor Wembanyama (Spurs): 25.8 points\n2. Keyonte George (Jazz): 20.6\n3. Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): 18.5\n4. Stephon Castle (Spurs): 18.4\n5. Dylan Harper (Spurs): 18.1

Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Spurs vs. Jazz game details

• Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Delta Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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