Mavericks vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/25/2026]

The Denver Nuggets will square off with the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Ball Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Mavericks will look to Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and P.J. Washington.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Mavs vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Nuggets, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets a 78% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 126-117.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 246.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.

Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mavericks	Nuggets
Spread	+10.5 (-105)	-10.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+455	-520
Total	o246.5 (-105)	u246.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Mavericks +10.5	-105
Moneyline	Mavericks	+455
Total	Under 246.5	-112

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mavericks vs. Nuggets player props

Looking for Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 12 rebounds and 12 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Mavericks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Cooper Flagg	23	7	6	1	47
Naji Marshall	18	5	4	1	34
P.J. Washington	14	6	2	2	31
B. Williams	14	3	4	1	26
Klay Thompson	13	2	1	3	22

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	30	12	12	2	71
Jamal Murray	26	5	8	3	48
Cameron Johnson	13	4	3	2	27
Tim Hardaway	12	3	1	2	21
Christian Braun	12	5	3	1	27

Mavs vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Nuggets and Mavericks at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Wednesday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 71 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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