Mavericks vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA game on March 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Mavericks
135
142
Ball Arena
Nuggets
Ball Arena
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 42 | 23 | 37 | 135 |
Nuggets | 34 | 46 | 31 | 31 | 142 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Mavericks
- Nuggets
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 42 | 23 | 37 | 135 |
Nuggets | 34 | 46 | 31 | 31 | 142 |
Q4 00:12 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:46 Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Naji Marshall misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 2:24 Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
- +1Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-142
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot132-139
- Cooper Flagg personal foul (Take) (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot132-139
- Nuggets turnover
- Nuggets turnover
- Nuggets personal foul
- Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Other)
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2132-139
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- Nuggets personal foul
- Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot128-138
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
- Naji Marshall offensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point turnaround jump shot
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot135-141
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot128-133
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot135-141
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)132-139
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic personal foul
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Mavericks personal foul
- Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- +1Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot135-141
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point tip dunk135-141
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Nuggets personal foul
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
- +3Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)116-124
- Bruce Brown personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Brandon Williams blocks Bruce Brown's two point cutting finger roll layup
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-141
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1116-124
- Brandon Williams personal foul
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)135-141
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Max Christie misses three point jump shot
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot116-124
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot113-124
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-141
- Nuggets turnover
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot135-141
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones)
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones)
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-141
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot135-141
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot98-111
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot98-111
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point reverse layup (Cooper Flagg assists)116-124
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses three point running jump shot
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 298-111
- +1Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- Spencer Jones defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 298-111
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 298-111
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot98-111
- Jamal Murray offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point bank jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)98-111
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses two point jump shot
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Peyton Watson personal foul
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton)
- Nikola Jokic misses heave shot
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2132-139
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot135-141
- Brandon Williams offensive foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
- Brandon Williams turnover (offensive foul)
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot135-141
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-141
- Nuggets personal foul
- Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot98-111
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Tyler Smith)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot98-111
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot98-111
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Khris Middleton misses two point jump shot
- +3Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)98-111
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot98-111
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
- +2Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot98-111
- +1Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 198-111
- Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
- Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
- Nuggets personal foul
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-141
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1135-141
- Khris Middleton defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-141
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot135-141
- +2Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)135-141
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 1135-141
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-141
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot135-141
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot135-141
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot135-141
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Marvin Bagley III makes two point floating jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)98-111
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nikola Jokic personal foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)
- +1Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 2132-139
- Marvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot135-141
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot75-80
- P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic misses two point running layup
- P.J. Washington blocks Nikola Jokic's two point jump shot
- Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point floating jump shot75-80
- Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 198-111
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot98-111
- +1Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 298-111
- Nuggets personal foul
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
- Dwight Powell defensive rebound
- +1Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
- Mavericks personal foul
- Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-141
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot128-138
- +2Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot (Max Christie assists)75-80
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1128-138
- Nuggets personal foul
- Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
- Dwight Powell personal foul
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 298-111
- Spencer Jones shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2128-138
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot128-138
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot128-138
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot128-138
- Nuggets turnover
- Spencer Jones shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
- Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +1Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2128-138
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 257-68
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2128-138
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot57-68
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Nikola Jokic misses three point fadeaway jump shot
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 257-67
- Nuggets personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2113-124
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 257-66
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 257-67
- Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 257-66
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 275-80
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot75-80
- +3Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot98-111
- P.J. Washington personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot91-93
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot91-93
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot91-93
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Khris Middleton defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +3Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)57-68
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot91-93
- Nuggets turnover
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Marvin Bagley III personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
- Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- Marvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot
- +3Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)51-52
- +3Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)51-49
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)48-49
- +2Ryan Nembhard makes two point driving floating jump shot48-47
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Ryan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
- +3Cameron Johnson makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)46-47
- Marvin Bagley III misses two point tip layup
- Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 246-44
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 245-44
- Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
- +3Jamal Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot44-44
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- John Poulakidas misses three point jump shot
- Bruce Brown personal foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Marvin Bagley III shooting foul (Spencer Jones draws the foul)
- +1Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 244-41
- Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones)
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, John Poulakidas, Naji Marshall)
- +3John Poulakidas makes three point running pullup jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)44-40
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson misses three point pullup jump shot
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
- +2Naji Marshall makes two point pullup jump shot41-40
- Spencer Jones shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
- +2Peyton Watson makes two point driving finger roll layup39-40
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Naji Marshall)
- Tyler Smith misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
- +2Peyton Watson makes two point driving layup39-38
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point driving dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)39-36
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
- +2Ryan Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot37-36
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving layup
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther defensive rebound
- Tyler Smith misses three point jump shot
- John Poulakidas defensive rebound
- Julian Strawther misses two point driving finger roll layup
- +2Tyler Smith makes two point cutting dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)35-36
- +2Julian Strawther makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)33-36
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point stepback jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
- Start of 2nd Quarter
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
- Nikola Jokic misses heave shot
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
- Tyler Smith defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson misses two point driving floating jump shot
- +2Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup33-34
- Dwight Powell defensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Klay Thompson shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
- +1Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 231-34
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- +3Tyler Smith makes three point running jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)31-33
- Dwight Powell defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup
- +2Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)28-33
- +3Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)26-33
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Brandon Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
- +2Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)26-30
- +3Tyler Smith makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)26-28
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Tyler Smith)
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)23-27
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 123-28
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Brandon Williams shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Tyler Smith)
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Marvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- +3Klay Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)23-25
- +2Christian Braun makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)20-25
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point running layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)20-23
- Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
- Klay Thompson misses two point stepback jump shot
- Khris Middleton offensive rebound
- Khris Middleton misses two point reverse layup
- +2Peyton Watson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)20-21
- +2Marvin Bagley III makes two point cutting dunk (Brandon Williams assists)20-19
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Klay Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
- +3Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)18-19
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson)
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Klay Thompson misses two point turnaround jump shot
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson)
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson)
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic misses two point finger roll layup
- +2Naji Marshall makes two point turnaround jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)18-16
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)16-16
- +3P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)16-14
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg blocks Nikola Jokic's two point pullup jump shot
- Jamal Murray offensive rebound
- Cameron Johnson misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Marvin Bagley III misses two point driving hook shot
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Christian Braun offensive rebound
- +2Christian Braun makes two point tip layup13-14
- Christian Braun misses two point running pullup jump shot
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
- +3Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)13-12
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot13-9
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Cameron Johnson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point fadeaway jump shot
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)11-9
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Naji Marshall assists)11-7
- Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Dwight Powell steals)
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)9-7
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Cameron Johnson blocks P.J. Washington's two point pullup jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +2Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)7-7
- +3Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)7-5
- Max Christie offensive rebound
- Max Christie misses two point pullup jump shot
- +2Cameron Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)4-5
- +1Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 23-3
- +1Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 24-3
- Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot2-3
- +3Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)0-3
- Spencer Jones defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Dwight Powell vs. Nikola Jokic (P.J. Washington gains possession)
- Start of 1st Quarter
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks 16¢, Nuggets -520
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 22%
- Nuggets: 78%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 117-127 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 22%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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