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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA game on March 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
135
142
Mar 26, 2AM Ball Arena
Mar 26, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 42 | 23 | 37 | 135 |
Nuggets | 34 | 46 | 31 | 31 | 142 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 42 | 23 | 37 | 135 |
Nuggets | 34 | 46 | 31 | 31 | 142 |
Q4 00:12 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:46 Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Naji Marshall misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 2:24 Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
P.J. Washington personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-142
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
132-139
Cooper Flagg personal foul (Take) (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
132-139
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets personal foul
Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Other)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
132-139
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
Nuggets personal foul
Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
128-138
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point turnaround jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
135-141
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
128-133
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
135-141
Mavericks turnover
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
132-139
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic personal foul
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks personal foul
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
135-141
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point tip dunk
135-141
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Nuggets personal foul
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
116-124
Bruce Brown personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Brandon Williams blocks Bruce Brown's two point cutting finger roll layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
135-141
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-124
Brandon Williams personal foul
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
135-141
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
116-124
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
113-124
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
135-141
Nuggets turnover
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
135-141
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
135-141
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
135-141
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
98-111
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
98-111
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point reverse layup (Cooper Flagg assists)
116-124
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point running jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-111
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-111
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-111
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
98-111
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point bank jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
98-111
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Peyton Watson personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton)
Nikola Jokic misses heave shot
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
132-139
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
End of 3rd Quarter.
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
135-141
Brandon Williams offensive foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Brandon Williams turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
135-141
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
135-141
Nuggets personal foul
Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-111
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Tyler Smith)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
98-111
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-111
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point jump shot
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
98-111
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-111
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot
98-111
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-111
Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
135-141
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
135-141
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
135-141
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
135-141
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)
135-141
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
135-141
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-141
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
135-141
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
135-141
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
135-141
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Marvin Bagley III makes two point floating jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
98-111
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
132-139
Marvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
135-141
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-80
P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Nuggets 60 second timeout
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point running layup
P.J. Washington blocks Nikola Jokic's two point jump shot
Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point floating jump shot
75-80
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-111
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-111
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-111
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
Mavericks personal foul
Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-141
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-138
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot (Max Christie assists)
75-80
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1
128-138
Nuggets personal foul
Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
Dwight Powell personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-111
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-138
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-138
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-138
Nuggets offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
128-138
Nuggets turnover
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-138
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-68
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-138
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
57-68
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Nikola Jokic misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-67
Nuggets personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-124
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-66
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-67
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-66
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-80
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-80
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
98-111
P.J. Washington personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
91-93
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
91-93
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
91-93
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
57-68
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
91-93
Nuggets turnover
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot
+3
Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
51-52
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)
51-49
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
48-49
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point driving floating jump shot
48-47
Max Christie defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
46-47
Marvin Bagley III misses two point tip layup
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-44
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-44
Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot
44-44
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
John Poulakidas misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown personal foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III shooting foul (Spencer Jones draws the foul)
+1
Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-41
Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, John Poulakidas, Naji Marshall)
+3
John Poulakidas makes three point running pullup jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
44-40
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point pullup jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point pullup jump shot
41-40
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving finger roll layup
39-40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Naji Marshall)
Tyler Smith misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving layup
39-38
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)
39-36
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot
37-36
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Tyler Smith misses three point jump shot
John Poulakidas defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Tyler Smith makes two point cutting dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
35-36
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)
33-36
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point stepback jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Start of 2nd Quarter
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
Nikola Jokic misses heave shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
Tyler Smith defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
33-34
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Klay Thompson shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
+3
Tyler Smith makes three point running jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
31-33
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)
28-33
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
26-33
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
26-30
+3
Tyler Smith makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
26-28
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Tyler Smith)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
23-27
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-28
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Brandon Williams shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Tyler Smith)
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Marvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)
23-25
+2
Christian Braun makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
20-25
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point running layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
20-23
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point stepback jump shot
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point reverse layup
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
20-21
+2
Marvin Bagley III makes two point cutting dunk (Brandon Williams assists)
20-19
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
18-19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point turnaround jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point finger roll layup
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point turnaround jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
18-16
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
16-16
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
16-14
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg blocks Nikola Jokic's two point pullup jump shot
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses two point driving hook shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Christian Braun offensive rebound
+2
Christian Braun makes two point tip layup
13-14
Christian Braun misses two point running pullup jump shot
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
13-12
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot
13-9
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cameron Johnson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
11-9
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Naji Marshall assists)
11-7
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Dwight Powell steals)
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
9-7
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cameron Johnson blocks P.J. Washington's two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)
7-7
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)
7-5
Max Christie offensive rebound
Max Christie misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Cameron Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
4-5
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-3
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-3
Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot
2-3
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
0-3
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Dwight Powell vs. Nikola Jokic (P.J. Washington gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | M. Christie | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 32 | C. Flagg | 26 | 8 | 7 |
| C | 7 | D. Powell | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 10 | B. Williams | 11 | 2 | 6 |
| G | 13 | N. Marshall | 22 | 4 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 23 | C. Johnson | 12 | 1 | 3 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 53 | 6 | 4 |
| G | 8 | P. Watson | 21 | 4 | 3 |
| C | 15 | N. Jokic | 23 | 21 | 19 |
| G-F | 11 | B. Brown | 6 | 2 | 1 |
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Mavericks vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +488, Nuggets -520
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 22%
- Nuggets: 78%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 117-127 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 22%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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