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Browns vs. Jets prediction: Cleveland favored to win in NFL Week 10, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets predictions for NFL Sunday.
The New York Jets will square off with the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 10 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Browns as the most likely winner of the Browns vs. Jets game.
This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Browns vs. Jets prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Since our Browns-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Browns and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Browns a 60% chance of beating the Jets in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Browns winning 20-17.
According to our model, the Browns (-1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 37.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 10 straight up picks.
Browns vs. Jets odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Browns | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-115) | +1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | o37.5 (-105) | u37.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Browns vs. Jets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns -1.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Browns | -130 |
| Total | Over 37.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Browns -1.5 at the spread.
Browns vs. Jets TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Browns vs. Jets?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Quinshon Judkins is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs. Jets.
Our projections give Judkins a 51.2% chance of scoring a TD at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is a 15.7% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 51.2% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 22.6% |
| Cedric Tillman (WR) | 21.4% |
| David Njoku (TE) | 21.3% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 20.4% |
New York Jets
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 36.0% |
| Garrett Wilson (WR) | 31.3% |
| Justin Fields (QB) | 29.0% |
| Mason Taylor (TE) | 19.7% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 17.0% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 15.7% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 5.6% |
| Cedric Tillman (WR) | 5.2% |
| David Njoku (TE) | 5.2% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 5.0% |
New York Jets
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 9.6% |
| Garrett Wilson (WR) | 8.1% |
| Justin Fields (QB) | 7.4% |
| Mason Taylor (TE) | 4.7% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 4.0% |
Browns vs Jets player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Jets. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 10 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Dillon Gabriel is projected for 190 passing yards, while the Jets' Justin Fields is expected to throw for just 172 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Dillon Gabriel (CLE) | 190 |
| Justin Fields (NYJ) | 172 |
Browns rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | 81 |
| Jerome Ford | 15 |
| Dylan Sampson | 10 |
Jets rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 69 |
| Justin Fields | 39 |
| Isaiah Davis | 20 |
Browns receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 43 |
| Harold Fannin | 37 |
| David Njoku | 33 |
| Cedric Tillman | 32 |
| Jamari Thrash | 15 |
Jets receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 60 |
| Mason Taylor | 30 |
| Tyler Johnson | 18 |
| Breece Hall | 18 |
| Isaiah Davis | 13 |
Browns vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 10 matchup between the Jets and Browns at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets
- Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Browns, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 10 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Browns vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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