Grizzlies vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 24 | 30 | 23 | 22 | 99 |
Rockets | 23 | 28 | 25 | 32 | 108 |
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 24 | 30 | 23 | 22 | 99 |
Rockets | 23 | 28 | 25 | 32 | 108 |
- Grizzlies turnover
- +1Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 299-108
- Grizzlies 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Cam Spencer offensive rebound
- Rockets turnover
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
- Grizzlies personal foul
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., John Konchar, Santi Aldama)
- GG Jackson offensive rebound
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot95-104
- Jaylen Wells turnover (lost ball)
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Josh Okogie offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Cam Spencer defensive rebound
- Rockets defensive rebound
- Grizzlies personal foul
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot93-99
- Rockets personal foul
- Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- +1Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 387-97
- +1Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 3 of 389-97
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot86-97
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot84-92
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
- Vince Williams Jr. offensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot82-90
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- Rockets turnover
- Cedric Coward offensive rebound
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot81-88
- +1Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 182-88
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Vince Williams Jr.)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Vince Williams Jr.)
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot79-88
- Josh Okogie defensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot79-85
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., Vince Williams Jr.)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot79-83
- Rockets turnover
- Josh Okogie defensive rebound
- Josh Okogie offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot77-78
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Josh Okogie defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 277-75
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., Vince Williams Jr.)
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- +3Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot77-74
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies turnover
- Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 277-70
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 277-71
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- +3Grizzlies makes three point jump shot77-69
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot74-69
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Grizzlies lineup change (Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., John Konchar, Vince Williams Jr.)
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies personal foul
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot74-66
- Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +1Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 272-62
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Rockets turnover
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Rockets personal foul
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot68-60
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot66-60
- GG Jackson defensive rebound
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- Grizzlies turnover
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot63-58
- +3Grizzlies makes three point jump shot63-56
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Grizzlies turnover
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Tari Eason defensive rebound
- Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot58-56
- Grizzlies turnover
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Santi Aldama defensive rebound
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 258-54
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot56-53
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Tari Eason offensive rebound
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot56-51
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 254-51
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot51-49
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot51-46
- Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
- Kevin Durant offensive rebound
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot49-46
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 149-43
- Amen Thompson defensive goaltending violation
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 343-43
- +1Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 2 of 344-43
- Grizzlies offensive rebound
- Instant replay
- Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama)
- Rockets violation
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot42-39
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +1Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 240-39
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot40-37
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound
- Santi Aldama defensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot38-35
- Grizzlies turnover
- Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
- Vince Williams Jr. offensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot36-33
- Rockets turnover
- GG Jackson offensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
- +1GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 134-31
- Rockets turnover
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- +3Grizzlies makes three point jump shot31-31
- Jaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Tari Eason)
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Grizzlies turnover
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot28-27
- Kevin Durant offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- John Konchar defensive rebound
- Vince Williams Jr. offensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Kevin Durant defensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot24-25
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies personal foul
- Clint Capela defensive rebound
- John Konchar offensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., John Konchar, Vince Williams Jr.)
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Cedric Coward defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- Clint Capela defensive rebound
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot21-23
- +3Grizzlies makes three point jump shot19-20
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Rockets personal foul
- GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 216-20
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies turnover
- Vince Williams Jr. offensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies defensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Santi Aldama defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Cam Spencer offensive rebound
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 211-17
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
- GG Jackson defensive rebound
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot9-16
- Rockets turnover
- Kevin Durant defensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot7-16
- +1Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 27-14
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot5-14
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Cedric Coward defensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot5-12
- Grizzlies personal foul
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot5-10
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
- Santi Aldama defensive rebound
- +2Grizzlies makes two point jump shot3-10
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot1-10
- Rockets personal foul
- Cedric Coward misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 21-8
- Kevin Durant defensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot0-5
- Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
- Kevin Durant defensive rebound
- Rockets turnover
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
- Jaren Jackson Jr. vs. Alperen Sengun (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Grizzlies vs. Rockets
- Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +390, Rockets -480
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Grizzlies: 21%
- Rockets: 79%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 107-117 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 21%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 79%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Grizzlies vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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