Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Hawks NBA game on December 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Nuggets
134
133
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
23 31 40 40 134
Hawks
41 32 30 30 133
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    61%
  • Hawks
    39%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
23 31 40 40 134
Hawks
41 32 30 30 133
Q4 00:00 Jamal Murray misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:59 Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:16 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:34 Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:44 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:11 Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
Q4 6:41 Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Jamal Murray misses two point driving layup
  2. Q4 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:15
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
  5. Q4 00:17
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    134-133
  6. Q4 1:59
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
    127-124
  7. Q4 2:01
    Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Johnson steals)
  8. Q4 2:27
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    134-133
  9. Q4 2:40
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    134-133
  10. Q4 2:57
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  11. Q4 2:58
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    134-133
  12. Q4 3:03
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  13. Q4 5:16
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    134-133
  14. Q4 5:34
    +2
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot
    120-111
  15. Q4 5:34
    Jonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)
  16. Q4 5:38
    Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
  17. Q4 5:44
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 6:11
    +3
    Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
    120-111
  19. Q4 6:36
    Bruce Brown personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  20. Q4 6:37
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  21. Q4 6:41
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point pullup jump shot
  22. Q4 6:53
    +3
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
    117-106
  23. Q4 7:09
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  24. Q4 7:13
    Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 7:25
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    114-106
  26. Q4 7:38
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  27. Q4 8:01
    Nuggets personal foul
  28. Q4 8:28
    Bruce Brown personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
  29. Q4 8:38
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    134-133
  30. Q4 8:38
    Luke Kennard personal foul
  31. Q4 8:38
    Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  32. Q4 8:38
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    134-133
  33. Q4 8:51
    Jalen Johnson turnover (traveling)
  34. Q4 9:06
    +2
    Jonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    111-106
  35. Q4 9:41
    +3
    Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
    106-106
  36. Q4 9:47
    Hawks turnover
  37. Q4 10:13
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 10:19
    Vit Krejci misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 10:28
    Cameron Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
  40. Q4 10:47
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  41. Q4 10:51
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  42. Q4 11:23
    +3
    Mouhamed Gueye makes three point jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)
    117-106
  43. Q4 11:42
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    117-106
  44. Q3 00:00
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  46. Q3 00:02
    +3
    Vit Krejci makes three point jump shot
    117-106
  47. Q3 00:22
    +3
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
    117-106
  48. Q3 00:33
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  49. Q3 1:07
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  50. Q3 1:21
    Nuggets turnover
  51. Q3 2:11
    Kristaps Porzingis personal foul
  52. Q3 2:11
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    134-133
  53. Q3 2:38
    Peyton Watson personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
  54. Q3 3:21
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  55. Q3 3:24
    Kristaps Porzingis personal foul
  56. Q3 3:46
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    117-106
  57. Q3 3:56
    +2
    Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
    88-91
  58. Q3 4:08
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Luke Kennard, Vit Krejci)
  59. Q3 4:08
    +2
    Dyson Daniels makes two point running layup (Jalen Johnson assists)
    88-91
  60. Q3 4:08
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  61. Q3 4:13
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  62. Q3 4:15
    Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
  63. Q3 5:02
    Hawks personal foul
  64. Q3 5:17
    Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
  65. Q3 5:27
    Cameron Johnson turnover
  66. Q3 5:32
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  67. Q3 5:35
    Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
  68. Q3 5:46
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    106-106
  69. Q3 6:08
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    106-106
  70. Q3 6:22
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    106-106
  71. Q3 6:22
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  72. Q3 6:27
    Cameron Johnson misses two point jump shot
  73. Q3 6:36
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    106-106
  74. Q3 6:57
    +1
    Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-96
  75. Q3 6:57
    Zaccharie Risacher shooting foul (Spencer Jones draws the foul)
  76. Q3 6:57
    Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  77. Q3 7:43
    +2
    Zaccharie Risacher makes two point putback layup
    106-106
  78. Q3 8:05
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  79. Q3 8:07
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  80. Q3 8:17
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  81. Q3 8:21
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  82. Q3 8:33
    Spencer Jones personal foul
  83. Q3 8:49
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    134-133
  84. Q3 8:52
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  85. Q3 8:55
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
  86. Q3 9:03
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
    89-96
  87. Q3 9:21
    Jalen Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
  88. Q3 9:37
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point running layup
    134-133
  89. Q3 9:39
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  90. Q3 9:44
    Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
  91. Q3 10:09
    Spencer Jones shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  92. Q3 10:09
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  93. Q3 10:11
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
  94. Q3 10:59
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  95. Q3 11:14
    Jalen Johnson personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  96. Q3 11:26
    Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
  97. Q3 11:36
    +2
    Nikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    106-106
  98. Q3 11:43
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  99. Q3 11:47
    Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
  100. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
  101. Q3 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  102. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  103. Q2 00:01
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  104. Q2 00:01
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  105. Q2 00:22
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  106. Q2 00:22
    Hawks personal foul
  107. Q2 00:22
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    134-133
  108. Q2 00:22
    Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  109. Q2 00:22
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Jamal Murray)
  110. Q2 00:31
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    120-111
  111. Q2 00:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  112. Q2 00:44
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  113. Q2 00:44
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  114. Q2 00:44
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  115. Q2 00:44
    Dyson Daniels misses two point putback layup
  116. Q2 00:44
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-106
  117. Q2 00:44
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-106
  118. Q2 00:44
    Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Vit Krejci)
  119. Q2 00:48
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  120. Q2 00:58
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    48-67
  121. Q2 1:18
    +2
    Kristaps Porzingis makes two point running dunk
    48-67
  122. Q2 1:21
    Bruce Brown turnover (Kristaps Porzingis steals)
  123. Q2 1:22
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
    48-67
  124. Q2 1:26
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  125. Q2 1:26
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  126. Q2 1:26
    Peyton Watson blocks Jalen Johnson's two point putback layup
  127. Q2 1:34
    Zaccharie Risacher misses three point jump shot
  128. Q2 1:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  129. Q2 1:47
    +2
    Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot
    48-67
  130. Q2 1:51
    Hawks turnover
  131. Q2 2:00
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  132. Q2 2:00
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    48-67
  133. Q2 2:00
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-67
  134. Q2 2:20
    +3
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot
    48-67
  135. Q2 2:31
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    48-67
  136. Q2 2:31
    Zaccharie Risacher personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
  137. Q2 2:31
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-111
  138. Q2 2:38
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  139. Q2 2:42
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  140. Q2 2:48
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  141. Q2 2:51
    Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
  142. Q2 3:02
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  143. Q2 3:04
    Peyton Watson personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
  144. Q2 3:04
    Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  145. Q2 3:04
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-111
  146. Q2 3:21
    Jalen Johnson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  147. Q2 3:21
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  148. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-111
  149. Q2 3:21
    Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  150. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-111
  151. Q2 3:22
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  152. Q2 3:24
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  153. Q2 3:27
    Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
  154. Q2 3:28
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  155. Q2 3:31
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  156. Q2 3:36
    Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Johnson steals)
  157. Q2 3:53
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    73-79
  158. Q2 3:59
    Jamal Murray turnover (Dyson Daniels steals)
  159. Q2 4:04
    Hawks turnover
  160. Q2 4:11
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  161. Q2 4:14
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  162. Q2 4:32
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
  163. Q2 4:32
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    120-111
  164. Q2 4:36
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  165. Q2 4:48
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    120-111
  166. Q2 4:57
    Hawks turnover
  167. Q2 5:12
    Bruce Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  168. Q2 5:16
    Hawks turnover
  169. Q2 5:29
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  170. Q2 5:33
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  171. Q2 5:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  172. Q2 5:41
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
  173. Q2 5:42
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
  174. Q2 5:56
    +2
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
    58-75
  175. Q2 6:01
    Nuggets turnover
  176. Q2 6:11
    Dyson Daniels personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  177. Q2 6:25
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  178. Q2 6:25
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  179. Q2 6:25
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
  180. Q2 6:27
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    48-67
  181. Q2 6:32
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  182. Q2 6:32
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    48-67
  183. Q2 6:36
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving layup
  184. Q2 6:39
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  185. Q2 6:43
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  186. Q2 6:47
    Nuggets turnover
  187. Q2 7:09
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    32-49
  188. Q2 7:15
    +2
    Jonas Valanciunas makes two point driving layup
    48-67
  189. Q2 7:35
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
    48-67
  190. Q2 7:56
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    48-67
  191. Q2 8:07
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  192. Q2 8:09
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  193. Q2 8:16
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  194. Q2 8:20
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  195. Q2 8:32
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  196. Q2 8:32
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  197. Q2 8:39
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    48-67
  198. Q2 9:01
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    48-67
  199. Q2 9:09
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  200. Q2 9:09
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Vit Krejci, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  201. Q2 9:10
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    40-63
  202. Q2 9:15
    Luke Kennard turnover (Bruce Brown steals)
  203. Q2 9:34
    Nuggets turnover
  204. Q2 9:53
    +3
    Vit Krejci makes three point jump shot
    40-63
  205. Q2 9:59
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  206. Q2 10:02
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  207. Q2 10:14
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  208. Q2 10:17
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  209. Q2 10:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    40-63
  210. Q2 10:36
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  211. Q2 10:45
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  212. Q2 10:54
    Hawks personal foul
  213. Q2 10:54
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  214. Q2 10:54
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  215. Q2 10:54
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    40-63
  216. Q2 10:54
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    40-63
  217. Q2 11:10
    +3
    Vit Krejci makes three point jump shot
    24-44
  218. Q2 11:22
    Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
  219. Q2 11:25
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-41
  220. Q2 11:25
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  221. Q2 11:25
    Hawks personal foul
  222. Q2 11:37
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  223. Q2 11:40
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  224. Q1 00:00
    Jump ball. (Tim Hardaway Jr. gains possession)
  225. Q1 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  226. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  227. Q2 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci)
  228. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
  229. Q1 00:00
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  230. Q1 00:02
    Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul
  231. Q1 00:02
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  232. Q1 00:02
    Instant replay
  233. Q1 00:02
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  234. Q1 00:13
    +2
    Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
    23-41
  235. Q1 00:32
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  236. Q1 00:35
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  237. Q1 00:39
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  238. Q1 00:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  239. Q1 00:42
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  240. Q1 00:56
    +3
    Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)
    23-39
  241. Q1 00:57
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  242. Q1 00:59
    Nikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot
  243. Q1 00:59
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  244. Q1 1:23
    +2
    Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
    23-39
  245. Q1 1:32
    Vit Krejci defensive rebound
  246. Q1 1:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  247. Q1 1:40
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  248. Q1 1:45
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  249. Q1 1:54
    +2
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot
    23-39
  250. Q1 2:01
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    23-39
  251. Q1 2:10
    Luke Kennard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  252. Q1 2:10
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  253. Q1 2:10
    Instant replay
  254. Q1 2:10
    Nuggets personal foul
  255. Q1 2:10
    Instant replay
  256. Q1 2:10
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
  257. Q1 2:10
    Hawks challenge timeout
  258. Q1 2:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  259. Q1 2:20
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  260. Q1 2:23
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  261. Q1 2:35
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  262. Q1 2:39
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  263. Q1 2:52
    Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
  264. Q1 2:55
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  265. Q1 3:03
    Hawks personal foul
  266. Q1 3:03
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Kristaps Porzingis, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci)
  267. Q1 3:11
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    18-34
  268. Q1 3:18
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  269. Q1 3:20
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  270. Q1 3:37
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    18-32
  271. Q1 3:57
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    18-29
  272. Q1 4:09
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  273. Q1 4:09
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Luke Kennard, Vit Krejci)
  274. Q1 4:09
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  275. Q1 4:10
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    15-29
  276. Q1 4:15
    Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
  277. Q1 4:18
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  278. Q1 4:35
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    15-26
  279. Q1 4:42
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  280. Q1 4:45
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  281. Q1 5:03
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  282. Q1 5:06
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  283. Q1 5:14
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    15-23
  284. Q1 5:35
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    13-23
  285. Q1 5:41
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  286. Q1 5:44
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    23-41
  287. Q1 5:44
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  288. Q1 5:53
    Hawks personal foul
  289. Q1 5:58
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    13-19
  290. Q1 5:58
    Nuggets personal foul
  291. Q1 5:58
    +1
    Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    13-20
  292. Q1 6:17
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    13-17
  293. Q1 6:27
    Hawks personal foul
  294. Q1 6:27
    Dyson Daniels turnover (offensive foul)
  295. Q1 6:38
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  296. Q1 6:41
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  297. Q1 6:55
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    11-17
  298. Q1 6:55
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  299. Q1 6:55
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  300. Q1 7:00
    Nuggets turnover
  301. Q1 7:16
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    11-15
  302. Q1 7:25
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    11-13
  303. Q1 7:37
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    9-13
  304. Q1 7:45
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    9-11
  305. Q1 7:46
    Jamal Murray offensive rebound
  306. Q1 7:51
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  307. Q1 7:54
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  308. Q1 8:00
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  309. Q1 8:15
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    6-11
  310. Q1 8:22
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  311. Q1 8:25
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  312. Q1 8:41
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    6-8
  313. Q1 8:53
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    6-5
  314. Q1 8:54
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  315. Q1 8:58
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  316. Q1 9:08
    Hawks turnover
  317. Q1 9:16
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  318. Q1 9:20
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  319. Q1 9:30
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  320. Q1 9:34
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  321. Q1 9:48
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  322. Q1 9:51
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    4-5
  323. Q1 9:51
    Hawks personal foul
  324. Q1 9:51
    Cameron Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  325. Q1 9:53
    Hawks turnover
  326. Q1 10:06
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    2-5
  327. Q1 10:08
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  328. Q1 10:12
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  329. Q1 10:28
    Hawks turnover
  330. Q1 10:43
    Nuggets violation
  331. Q1 10:50
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  332. Q1 10:55
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  333. Q1 11:12
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    0-5
  334. Q1 11:18
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  335. Q1 11:22
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  336. Q1 11:39
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  337. Q1 11:49
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  338. Q1 11:54
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  339. Q1 11:58
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  340. Q1 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  341. Q1 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
  342. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  343. Q1 12:00
    Nikola Jokic vs. Onyeka Okongwu (Nuggets gains possession)
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Hawks
  • Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hawks favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 245.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +150, Hawks +135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 63%
  • Hawks: 37%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 121-117 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 63%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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