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Read Article Spurs vs. Jazz prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 15, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Spurs vs. Jazz predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The San Antonio Spurs are favored to beat the Utah Jazz at Delta Center on Sunday (5:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Spurs vs. Jazz prediction gives San Antonio an 85.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Jazz to cover at +14.5.
Spurs vs. Jazz key predictions
- Predicted score: Spurs 118-105 Jazz
- Spurs win probability: 85.8%
- Jazz win probability: 14.2%
- Jazz +14.5 spread: 56.3% cover probability
- Over 223.5 points: 51.0% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Spurs vs. Jazz odds
These are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
- Spurs moneyline: 89¢ (Novig)
- Jazz moneyline: 11¢ (Novig)
- Spurs -14.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Jazz +14.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Over 223.5 points: 50¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 223.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Spurs vs. Jazz pick: Jazz +14.5 (50¢)
Our model makes the Spurs the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Jazz to cover the +14.5 spread at 50¢ on Novig.
Those odds give Jazz an implied cover probability of 49.5%, while our model rates it at 56.3%.
That's a 6.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this matchup.
Spurs vs. Jazz player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Spurs star Victor Wembanyama leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 27.3 points, plus 10.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists. The Spurs have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Jazz's two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Victor Wembanyama (Spurs): 27.3 points
- Keyonte George (Jazz): 20.6
- Dylan Harper (Spurs): 18.4
- Darryn Peterson (Jazz): 17.9
- Stephon Castle (Spurs): 17.3
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Spurs vs. Jazz prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Spurs vs. Jazz predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Spurs vs. Jazz game details
- Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Delta Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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