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Read Article Rockets vs. Wizards prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 15, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Rockets vs. Wizards predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Houston Rockets are favored to beat the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena on Sunday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Rockets vs. Wizards prediction gives Houston a 74.0% chance of coming out on top, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Wizards to cover at +8.5.
Rockets vs. Wizards key predictions
- Predicted score: Rockets 115-107 Wizards
- Rockets win probability: 74.0%
- Wizards win probability: 26.0%
- Wizards +8.5 spread: 53.8% cover probability
- Over 223.5 points: 50.8% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Rockets vs. Wizards odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
- Rockets moneyline: 74¢ (Polymarket)
- Wizards moneyline: +300 (BetRivers)
- Rockets -8.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Wizards +8.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Over 223.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 223.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Rockets vs. Wizards pick: Wizards +8.5 (51¢)
Our model makes the Rockets the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Wizards to cover the +8.5 spread at 51¢ on Novig.
Those odds give Wizards an implied cover probability of 51.0%, while our model puts it at 53.8%.
That's a 2.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Rockets vs. Wizards player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Rockets star Kevin Durant leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 23.6 points, plus 6.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists. The Rockets have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Wizards' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Kevin Durant (Rockets): 23.6 points
- Anthony Davis (Wizards): 21.0
- Alperen Sengun (Rockets): 20.9
- Trae Young (Wizards): 20.8
- Amen Thompson (Rockets): 17.8
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Rockets vs. Wizards prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Rockets vs. Wizards predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Rockets vs. Wizards game details
- Matchup: Houston Rockets vs. Washington Wizards
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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