Nov 15, 2026
Thunder vs. Kings prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 15, 2026
Read Article Mavericks vs. Celtics prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 15, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Boston Celtics are favored to beat the Dallas Mavericks at TD Garden on Sunday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Mavericks vs. Celtics prediction gives Boston an 86.2% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Mavericks to cover at +14.5.
Mavericks vs. Celtics key predictions
- Predicted score: Celtics 116-103 Mavericks
- Celtics win probability: 86.2%
- Mavericks win probability: 13.8%
- Mavericks +14.5 spread: 55.3% cover probability
- Over 218.5 points: 51.2% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Mavericks vs. Celtics odds
These are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
- Mavericks moneyline: +700 (FanDuel)
- Celtics moneyline: 88¢ (Novig)
- Mavericks +14.5: 48¢ (Novig)
- Celtics -14.5: 52¢ (Polymarket)
- Over 218.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
- Under 218.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Mavericks vs. Celtics pick: Mavericks +14.5 (48¢)
Our model makes the Celtics the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Mavericks to cover the +14.5 spread at 48¢ on Novig.
Those odds give Mavericks an implied cover probability of 48.1%, while our model puts it at 55.3%.
That's a 7.2% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this matchup.
Mavericks vs. Celtics player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Celtics star Jayson Tatum leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 26.0 points, plus 8.1 rebounds and 7.0 assists. The Celtics have four players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Mavericks' one.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Jayson Tatum (Celtics): 26.0 points
- Cooper Flagg (Mavericks): 21.7
- Paul George (Celtics): 18.9
- Payton Pritchard (Celtics): 13.5
- Derrick White (Celtics): 13.5
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Mavericks vs. Celtics prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Mavericks vs. Celtics game details
- Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Written by
Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
Advertiser disclosure
