NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander [11/15/2026]

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 5.5 assists (47¢)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Projection: 6.9
• Game: Thunder vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 5.5 assists. A probability of 58.1% gives this play an edge of 10.6% at 47¢ odds.

Zaccharie Risacher over 3.5 rebounds (+110)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Projection: 4.6
• Game: Mavericks vs. Celtics (6:00PM ET)

Zaccharie Risacher’s rebounds prop shows an 8.3% edge at +110 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.6 rebounds on the over 3.5 line.

Amen Thompson over 4.5 assists (+105)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Projection: 5.4
• Game: Rockets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Amen Thompson over 4.5 assists, with simulations showing a 55.1% probability and a 6.3% edge at +105.

Ajay Mitchell over 3.5 assists (50¢)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55.0%
• Projection: 4.4
• Game: Thunder vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Ajay Mitchell to put up 4.4 assists today, creating an edge of 5.5% on the over 3.5 line at 50¢ odds.

Jalen Johnson over 7.5 assists (47¢)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 55.0%
• Projection: 8.4
• Game: Hawks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jalen Johnson over 7.5 assists for Hawks, showing an edge of 7.5% at 47¢ odds.

Tari Eason over 6.5 rebounds (+124)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Projection: 7.1
• Game: Rockets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Tari Eason’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 8.9% at +124 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 7.1 today.

Jared McCain over 2.5 3-pointers made (47¢)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Projection: 2.8
• Game: Thunder vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jared McCain for 2.8 3-pointers made for Thunder, creating an edge of 5.7% on over 2.5 at 47¢ odds.

Amen Thompson over 7.5 rebounds (45¢)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Projection: 8.1
• Game: Rockets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Amen Thompson for 8.1 rebounds, creating value on the over 7.5 line at 45¢ odds and a 8.7% edge.

Brayden Burries over 5.5 rebounds (45¢)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Projection: 6.0
• Game: Hawks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

An 8.2% edge on the over 7.5 rebounds line makes Brayden Burries a value play in Hawks vs. Bucks, with our model projecting him for 6.0 rebounds at 45¢ odds.

Kevin Durant over 5.5 rebounds (45¢)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Projection: 6.0
• Game: Rockets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Kevin Durant for 6.0 rebounds here, creating a 7.1% edge on the over 5.5 line at 45¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Sunday, November 15, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:47PM ET:

Conclusion

For November 15, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Zaccharie Risacher and Amen Thompson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.