NBA picks today: Sunday's best bets include Mavericks vs. Celtics play [11/15/2026]

Mavericks +14.5 (+106)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Celtics (6:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Mavericks +14.5 at 49¢ odds. A 55.3% probability produces an edge of 6.7%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Bucks +7.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Bucks +7.5 carries a 4.4% edge and a probability of 55.6% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Knicks ML (62¢)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET)

Knicks ML at 62¢ odds shows a 4.2% edge, supported by a 65.8% probability in simulations.

Kings +10.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)

A 3.4% edge and 54.6% probability makes Kings +10.5 vs. Thunder a value play in the Thunder vs. Kings matchup, per our model.

Knicks -4.5 (+104)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 52%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET)

Knicks -4.5 at 49¢ presents a 3.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52%.

Wizards +8.5 (-104)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 53.8%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Wizards +8.5 at 51¢, supported by an edge of 2.8%.

Kings ML (+420)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 21.6%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Thunder-Kings to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +420. A 21.6% probability produces a 2.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Knicks vs. Raptors Over 218.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET)

A 2.2% edge on a 52.2% probability makes Over 218.5 points at 50¢a solid value play in today's Knicks vs. Raptors matchup.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 11/15/2026

As of 5:33PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/15/2026]

• Knicks vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Mavericks vs. Celtics (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Hawks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Thunder vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 15, 2026, featuring plays such as Mavericks +14.5 vs. Celtics and Bucks +7.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.