MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Framber Valdez [8/6/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 6, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Framber Valdez, Walker Buehler and Ranger Suarez.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Padres vs. D-Backs and Marlins vs. Braves—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 8/6
Sourced from 90+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 6, ranked by probability.
Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-153)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 69.2%
- Game: Tigers vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on Detroit's Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.2% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at -153 odds.
Walker Buehler over 4.5 hits allowed (-142)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 66.7%
- Game: Padres vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)
Walker Buehler’s hits allowed prop shows a 66.7% probability and an 8.0% edge at -142 odds, according to our model.
Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed (-159)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 64.6%
- Game: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 64.6% probability and a 3.2% edge at -159.
Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts (-139)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 63.5%
- Game: Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 63.5% probability and an edge of 5.3% at -139 odds.
Dylan Cease under 18.5 outs recorded (-147)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Dylan Cease under 18.5 outs recorded for Toronto, showing an edge of 3.6% at -147 odds.
Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts (-122)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 62.8%
- Game: Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Michael Wacha’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 7.8% at -122 odds, supported by a 62.8% probability according to our model.
Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts (-138)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 61.9%
- Game: Mets vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts for Cleveland, with a 61.9% probability and a 3.9% edge at -138 odds.
Luis Castillo over 15.5 outs recorded (-116)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Luis Castillo over 15.5 outs recorded, supported by a 61.0% probability at -116 odds and an edge of 7.3%.
Colton Cowser to get a hit (-140)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: Angels vs. Orioles (12:35PM ET)
A 2.6% edge on the to get a hit line makes Colton Cowser a value play in Angels vs. Orioles, supported by a 61.0% probability at -140 odds.
Bryce Harper over 1.5 bases (-120)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Game: Nationals vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET)
Simulations show value on Bryce Harper over 1.5 bases here, with a 59.4% probability and 4.8% edge at -120 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, August 6, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:31AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts | -153 @ DraftKings | 8.8% | 69.2% |
| Padres vs. D-Backs | Walker Buehler over 4.5 hits allowed | -142 @ DraftKings | 8.0% | 66.7% |
| White Sox vs. Red Sox | Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed | -159 @ DraftKings | 5.3% | 63.5% |
| Twins vs. Royals | Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts | -139 @ DraftKings | 5.3% | 63.5% |
| Blue Jays vs. Cubs | Dylan Cease under 18.5 outs recorded | -147 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 63.1% |
| Twins vs. Royals | Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts | -122 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 62.8% |
| Mets vs. Guardians | Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts | -138 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 61.9% |
| White Sox vs. Red Sox | Luis Castillo over 15.5 outs recorded | -116 @ DraftKings | 7.3% | 61.0% |
| Angels vs. Orioles | Colton Cowser to get a hit | -140 @ DraftKings | 2.6% | 61.0% |
| Nationals vs. Phillies | Bryce Harper over 1.5 bases | -120 @ Fanatics | 4.8% | 59.4% |
Conclusion
For August 6, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Framber Valdez, Walker Buehler and Ranger Suarez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
