Nationals vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationals | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Phillies | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | X | 7 | 16 | 0 |
- Nationals
- Phillies
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Crews | CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | A. Ortiz | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | B. House | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | H. Ford | DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 6 | D. Lile | RF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | J. Tena | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | N. Nuñez | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 9 | K. Ruiz | C | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .667 | 1.417 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Schwarber | DH | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 2 | T. Turner | SS | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 3 | B. De La Cruz | RF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | L. Arraez | 2B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 5 | A. Bohm | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 6 | B. Marsh | LF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 7 | J. Realmuto | C | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 8 | B. Stott | 3B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .667 | 2.083 |
| 9 | J. Crawford | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
Nationals vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Thursday
- Teams: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
- Time: 6:05PM ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Nationals (+1.5, +143), Phillies (-1.5, -144)
- Moneyline: Nationals +300, Phillies -300
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-122/+120)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Nationals: 26.3%
- Phillies: 73.7%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 26.3%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 73.7%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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