White Sox vs. Red Sox: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the White Sox vs. Red Sox MLB game on Thursday, August 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
White Sox
Luis Castillo 3-9, 5.06 ERA
11
12
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Starter not available 4-3, 3.15 ERA
Fenway Park
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 RHE
White Sox
2 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 11 13 1
Red Sox
0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 1 12 16 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • White Sox
    0%
  • Red Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Caleb Durbin singles to center field. Wilyer Abreu to second. Nick Sogard scores.
Quick Box Score
White Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Meidroth 2B5234221.6002.514
2 M. Murakami 1B6000003.0000.143
3 M. Vargas 3B6200013.0000.143
4 A. Benintendi DH5110001.2000.400
5 C. Montgomery SS5122011.4000.829
6 D. Romo C3100001.0000.000
7 T. Peters CF3010010.3330.833
8 B. Montgomery RF5211011.2000.533
9 S. Antonacci LF5032001.6001.400
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard 1B5210011.2000.533
2 C. Rafaela CF7020002.2860.572
3 W. Abreu RF5112002.2000.486
4 C. Durbin 3B6231012.5001.238
5 J. Jones DH11100001.0002.000
6 A. Monasterio SS6122001.3331.000
7 J. Duran LF5100002.0000.167
8 A. Seigler 2B4123010.5001.250
9 J. Rogers C0001010.0000.500

White Sox vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: CHI White Sox White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: White Sox (+1.5, -111), Red Sox (-1.5, +114)
  • Moneyline: White Sox +183, Red Sox -184
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • White Sox: 37.1%
  • Red Sox: 62.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the White Sox a win probability of 37.1%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 62.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the White Sox in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our White Sox vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.