MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Twins vs. Mariners play [7/31/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Friday, July 31, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for July 31, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Friday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for July 31, 2026 are here, with Twins vs. Mariners and Brewers vs. Angels among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s MLB play.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to uncover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets tonight [7/31, updated 9:16PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Friday, July 31, 2026.

Twins vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs (-106)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Twins vs. Mariners at -106 odds. A 56.8% probability produces an edge of 5.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

Brewers vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (-117)

Brewers vs. Angels over 8.5 runs carries a 4.6% edge and a probability of 58.5% at -117 odds, according to our model.

 

Athletics +1.5 (-113)

Athletics +1.5 vs. Tigers at -113 odds shows a 4.3% edge, supported by a 57.3% probability in simulations.

 

Red Sox vs. Dodgers over 8.5 runs (+113)

A 4.1% edge and 51.1% probability make Red Sox vs. Dodgers over 8.5 runs a value play in the Red Sox vs. Dodgers matchup, per our model.

 

Athletics ML (+130)

Athletics ML at +130 odds presents a 4.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 47.5%.

 

Padres -1.5 (+150)

Our model finds value on Padres -1.5 at +150 odds, supported by an edge of 4.0%.

 

Dodgers -1.5 (+170)

Our model has uncovered value on Dodgers -1.5 at +170 odds. A 41% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

 

Angels ML (+158)

A 3.8% edge on a 42.5% probability makes Angels to win at +158 odds a solid value play in today's Brewers vs. Angels matchup.

 

Angels +1.5 (-102)

Our model projects value on Angels +1.5 at -102 odds. A 53.5% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making Angels the favorable side in today's matchup.

 

Padres ML (-138)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Padres to defeat Giants at -138 odds shows a 61% probability and a 3.0% edge.

 

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 7/31/2026

As of 9:16PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Twins vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs -106 @ Novig 5.4% 56.8%
Brewers vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs -117 @ Polymarket 4.6% 58.5%
Tigers vs. Athletics Athletics +1.5 -113 @ Polymarket 4.3% 57.3%
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs +113 @ Novig 4.1% 51.1%
Tigers vs. Athletics Athletics ML +130 @ Novig 4.0% 47.5%
Giants vs. Padres Padres -1.5 +150 @ Polymarket 4.0% 44%
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Dodgers -1.5 +170 @ Polymarket 4.0% 41%
Brewers vs. Angels Angels ML +158 @ Caesars 3.8% 42.5%
Brewers vs. Angels Angels +1.5 -102 @ Novig 3.0% 53.5%
Giants vs. Padres Padres ML -138 @ Novig 3.0% 61%
 

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/31/2026]

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 31, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Twins vs. Mariners matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Brewers vs. Angels matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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