Marlins vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Mets MLB game on Saturday, August 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Marlins
Tyler Phillips 2-5, 3.52 ERA
6
2
Citi Field
Mets
Zac Thornton 2-1, 2.43 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
1 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 6 10 0
Mets
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcus Semien flies out to center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Lopez SS4211001.2500.700
2 H. Hernández LF4000011.0000.200
3 L. Hicks C3022020.6671.467
4 X. Edwards 2B5000000.0000.000
5 J. Marsee CF2000001.0000.000
6 K. Stowers 1B4110011.2500.650
7 J. Sanoja 3B5122100.4001.400
8 E. Ruiz RF3120001.6671.417
9 G. Conine DH3121110.6672.417
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing CF4010000.2500.500
2 F. Lindor SS4020001.5001.000
3 B. Bichette DH4010000.2500.500
4 C. Benge RF4010001.2500.500
5 J. Young 1B4000001.0000.000
6 M. Semien 2B4110000.2500.500
7 B. Baty 3B3000002.0000.000
8 T. Taylor LF3112100.3331.666
9 L. Torrens C3000000.0000.000

Marlins vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (+1.5, -170), Mets (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +122, Mets -125
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-115/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 42.6%
  • Mets: 57.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 42.6%, while the Mets have a win probability of 57.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citi Field on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.