Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Cubs MLB game on August 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Max Fried 4-3, 3.23 ERA
2
5
Aug 1, 7:15 PM ET Wrigley Field
Cubs
David Peterson 6-7, 5.80 ERA
Aug 1, 7:15 PM ET Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 8 0
Cubs
1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 X 5 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
José Caballero grounds out to second base, Nico Hoerner to Michael Busch.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF0000010.0001.000
2 P. Goldschmidt 1B4000001.0000.000
3 A. Rosario DH4010001.2500.500
4 J. Domínguez RF4010001.2500.750
5 J. Chisholm 2B4000003.0000.000
6 R. McMahon 3B0000000.0000.000
7 S. Jones LF4221101.5001.750
8 A. Sánchez C4030000.7501.500
9 J. Caballero SS3011011.3330.833
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3211011.3331.500
2 S. Suzuki RF3011011.3330.833
3 A. Bregman 3B2110020.5001.250
4 C. Kelly C4010002.2500.500
5 M. Busch 1B4011000.2500.500
6 N. Hoerner 2B4121101.5001.750
7 I. Happ LF4000001.0000.000
8 D. Swanson SS3000000.0000.000
9 P. Ramirez DH0100010.0001.000

Yankees vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Cubs
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees +5163, Cubs -113

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 47%
  • Cubs: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 47%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.