Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna Liga MX match on August 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
0
Estadio Corona
Santos Laguna
Estadio Corona
Santos LagunaSAN
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
R. Marin (75')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Santos Laguna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cuevas (Santos Laguna) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Santos Laguna: T. Jimenez replaces E. Orona
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces B. Gutierrez
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces H. Camberos
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces R. Marin
  6. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin
    1-0
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Santos Laguna: S. Mariscal Murra replaces A. Lopez
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Santos Laguna: K. Palacios replaces D. Gonzalez
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces J. Carrillo
  10. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces R. Ledezma
  11. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Santos Laguna: R. Sordo replaces E. Aguirre

Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 9:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Corona

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -180, Santos Laguna +460, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 58.7%
  • Santos Laguna: 18.8%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-0 Santos Laguna (11.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.7%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-0 Santos Laguna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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