Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna Liga MX match on August 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
vs.
Aug 16, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Corona
Santos Laguna
Aug 16, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Corona
Pre-Game Predictions Last Update: August 7, 2026, 4:08 AM ET

Moneyline

  • Guadalajara
    58.3%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Draw
    22.6%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Santos Laguna
    19.1%
    FanDuelFanDuel

Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Corona

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -200, Santos Laguna +470, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-186/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 58.3%
  • Santos Laguna: 19.1%
  • Draw: 22.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-0 Santos Laguna (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.3%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-0 Santos Laguna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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