Tigres UANL vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Atlas Liga MX match on August 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
1
2
Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Estadio Jalisco
AtlasATL
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
M. Capasso (2')
Soccer ball icon
J. Sanchez (70')
Red Card icon
L. Esteves (81')
Soccer ball icon
J. Brunetta (21')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: I. Galvan replaces D. Lainez
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Ramirez replaces Joaquim
  3. 85'
    Penalty missed by J. Brunetta for Tigres UANL
  4. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by L. Esteves, assisted by E. Zaldivar
    1-2
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: V. Lorona replaces F. Reyes
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces A. Franco
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: G. Aguirre replaces Duk
  8. 70'
    Red Card
    J. Sanchez (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Esteves replaces A. Gonzalez
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Rodriguez replaces J. Martin
  11. 56'
    Yellow Card
    J. Garza (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces V. H. Rios De Alba
  13. 35'
    Yellow Card
    M. Capasso (Atlas) cautioned
  14. 30'
    Yellow Card
    H. Elizondo (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  15. 22'
    Yellow Card
    V. H. Rios De Alba (Atlas) cautioned
  16. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta, assisted by R. Aguirre
    1-1
  17. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by M. Capasso, assisted by A. Gonzalez
    0-1

Tigres UANL vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +360, Atlas +225, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+130/-161)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 46.4%
  • Atlas: 27.1%
  • Draw: 26.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Atlas (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.4%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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