Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves La Liga match on August 20, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
vs.
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Rayo Vallecano
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Pre-Game Predictions Last Update:

Moneyline

  • Alaves
    28.6%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Draw
    28.5%
    bet365bet365
  • Rayo Vallecano
    42.9%
    BetMGMBetMGM

Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves
  • Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +125, Alaves +270, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+175/-225)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 42.9%
  • Alaves: 28.6%
  • Draw: 28.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves (13.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.9%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.