Elche vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Barcelona La Liga match on August 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Barcelona
5
0
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
Raphinha (pen.) (14')
Soccer ball icon
K. Adeyemi (45')
Soccer ball icon
Raphinha (67')
Soccer ball icon
Fermin (71')
Soccer ball icon
Fermin (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: P. Bigas replaces F. Redondo Solari
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: J. Kounde replaces M. Bernal
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: J. Cancelo replaces Raphinha
  4. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Fermin, assisted by X. Espart
    5-0
  5. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Fermin, assisted by A. Gordon
    4-0
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: E. Ponce replaces F. Nino
  7. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by A. Gordon
    3-0
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: D. Olmo replaces K. Adeyemi
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: A. Gordon replaces Lamine Yamal
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces Tete Morente
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: M. Neto replaces M. Aguado
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: F. Buonanotte replaces A. Houary
  13. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: Pedri replaces Gavi
  14. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by K. Adeyemi, assisted by Raphinha
    2-0
  15. 33'
    Yellow Card
    A. Houary (Elche) cautioned
  16. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha (pen.)
    1-0

Elche vs. Barcelona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +800, Barcelona -275, draw +480
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-200/+163)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 13.2%
  • Barcelona: 68.7%
  • Draw: 18.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 0-2 Barcelona (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Elche vs. Barcelona? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.7%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 0-2 Barcelona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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