Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla La Liga match on August 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Sevilla
3
1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
Y. Berchiche (11')
Red Card icon
A. Paredes (70')
Soccer ball icon
Oso (15')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ejuke (50')
Soccer ball icon
I. Romero (57')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    I. Romero (Sevilla) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Guilen (Sevilla) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Yellow Card
    I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces B. Gerenabarrena
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. Diaz replaces Oso
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: H. Rincon replaces A. Paredes
  7. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Paredes, assisted by Y. Alvarez
    3-1
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. A. Carmona replaces A. Sangante
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces I. Williams
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Laporte replaces J. Areso
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
  12. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by I. Romero, assisted by Oso
    3-0
  13. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by C. Ejuke, assisted by I. Romero
    2-0
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: N. Guilen replaces Peque
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces M. Sierra
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces J. Guridi
  17. 39'
    Yellow Card
    J. Guridi (Sevilla) cautioned
  18. 25'
    Yellow Card
    G. Guruzeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  19. 25'
    Yellow Card
    M. Sierra (Sevilla) cautioned
  20. 22'
    Yellow Card
    Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
  21. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by Oso
    1-0
  22. 11'
    Red Card
    Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) sent off with a straight red card

Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -130, Sevilla +475, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-138)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 52.3%
  • Sevilla: 21.8%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Sevilla (13.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.3%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Sevilla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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