Alaves vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Girona La Liga match on February 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Girona
2
:
2
Feb 23, 3:00 PM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Feb 23, 3:00 PM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
GironaGIR
L. Boye (5')
Soccer ball icon
L. Boye (89')
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V. Vanat (31')
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V. Tsygankov (73')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Girona
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by V. Parada
2-2
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces C. Alena
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces V. Tsygankov
84'
Yellow Card
F. Beltran (Girona) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Frances replaces B. Gil
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Calebe replaces A. Perez
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces P. Ibanez
76'
Yellow Card
C. Echeverri (Girona) cautioned
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by V. Tsygankov, assisted by A. Ounahi
2-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ounahi replaces V. Vanat
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: F. Beltran replaces T. Lemar
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces I. Martin
50'
Yellow Card
Yusi (Alaves) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by V. Vanat, assisted by A. Witsel
1-1
12'
Yellow Card
T. Martinez (Alaves) cautioned
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by Yusi
0-1

Alaves vs. Girona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Girona
  • Date: Monday, February 23, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +138, Girona +225, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 39.1%
  • Girona: 33.0%
  • Draw: 27.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Girona (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Girona? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.1%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Girona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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