Alaves vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Girona La Liga match on February 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Girona
2
:
2
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
GironaGIR
L. Boye (5')
Soccer ball icon
L. Boye (89')
Soccer ball icon
V. Vanat (31')
Soccer ball icon
V. Tsygankov (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Girona
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by V. Parada
    2-2
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces C. Alena
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces V. Tsygankov
  5. 84'
    Yellow Card
    F. Beltran (Girona) cautioned
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Frances replaces B. Gil
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Calebe replaces A. Perez
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces P. Ibanez
  9. 76'
    Yellow Card
    C. Echeverri (Girona) cautioned
  10. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by V. Tsygankov, assisted by A. Ounahi
    2-1
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Ounahi replaces V. Vanat
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: F. Beltran replaces T. Lemar
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces I. Martin
  14. 50'
    Yellow Card
    Yusi (Alaves) cautioned
  15. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by V. Vanat, assisted by A. Witsel
    1-1
  16. 12'
    Yellow Card
    T. Martinez (Alaves) cautioned
  17. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by Yusi
    0-1

Alaves vs. Girona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Girona
  • Date: Monday, February 23, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +138, Girona +225, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 39.1%
  • Girona: 33.0%
  • Draw: 27.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Girona (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Girona? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.1%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Girona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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