Brighton vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Arsenal Premier League match on March 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
0
Mar 4, 2:30 PM ET Amex Stadium
Brighton
Mar 4, 2:30 PM ET Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
B. Saka (9')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Arsenal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Y. Ayari (Brighton) cautioned
82'
Yellow Card
F. Kadioglu (Brighton) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: C. Norgaard replaces M. Zubimendi
80'
Yellow Card
O. Boscagli (Brighton) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces C. Baleba
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: H. Howell replaces D. Gomez
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces M. Wieffer
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Welbeck replaces J. Hinshelwood
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Calafiori replaces C. Mosquera
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces G. Martinelli
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: K. Havertz replaces V. Gyokeres
52'
Yellow Card
D. Gomez (Brighton) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Minteh replaces K. Mitoma
11'
Yellow Card
C. Mosquera (Arsenal) cautioned
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka, assisted by J. Timber
1-0

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Brighton vs. Arsenal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +425, Arsenal -145, draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-114/-106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 17.5%
  • Arsenal: 60.4%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 0-1 Arsenal (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Brighton vs. Arsenal? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.4%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 0-1 Arsenal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Brighton vs. Arsenal, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.