Wagner vs. Central Conn prediction: Why Central Connecticut State is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wagner vs. Central Conn, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Central Connecticut State an 84.2% chance of defeating Wagner. Our predicted final score has Central Connecticut State winning 30-17. According to our model, Wagner (+14) has a 52.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 55.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Wagner +14 (-111) / Central Conn -14 (-111)
• Moneyline: Wagner +426, Central Conn -600
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Wagner +14 @ -111 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Central Connecticut State @ -600 via bet365
• Total: Over 45.5 @ -115 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 45.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Central Conn and Wagner at Arute Field is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Wagner vs. Central Connecticut State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Arute Field

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Conclusion

We predict Central Connecticut State, with an 84.2% win probability, will likely beat Wagner in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.