Weber State vs. Cal Poly prediction: Why Cal Poly is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 63.5% win probability for Cal Poly at Mustang Memorial Field.

Cal Poly and Weber State will meet in Week 5 college football action at Mustang Memorial Field on Saturday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Cal Poly as the most likely winner in this Weber State vs. Cal Poly prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Weber State vs. Cal Poly prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model gives Cal Poly a 63.5% chance of beating Weber State. Our predicted final score has Cal Poly winning 34-30. According to our model, Weber State (+4.5) has a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 65.5 points has a 53.8% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Weber State +4.5 (-111) / Cal Poly -4.5 (-111)
- Moneyline: Weber State +160, Cal Poly -198
- Total: Over/Under 65.5 (-115/-115)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Weber State +4.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Weber State @ +160 via bet365
- Total: Under 65.5 @ -115 via bet365
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 65.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Cal Poly and Weber State at Mustang Memorial Field is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Weber State vs. Cal Poly
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Mustang Memorial Field
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Conclusion
We predict Cal Poly, with a 63.5% win probability, will likely beat Weber State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



