Utah State vs. Boise State prediction favors Boise State to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Utah State vs. Boise State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Boise State a 95.2% chance of defeating Utah State. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 36-15. According to our model, Boise State (-18.5) has a 55.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 51.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Utah State +18.5 (-110) / Boise State -18.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: Utah State +1050, Boise State -1450
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-107/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Boise State -18.5 @ -112 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Boise State @ -1450 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -107 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Boise State -18.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Boise State and Utah State at Albertsons Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Utah State vs. Boise State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Albertsons Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Boise State, with a 95.2% win probability, will likely beat Utah State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.