Citadel vs. South Carolina State prediction favors South Carolina State to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Citadel vs. South Carolina State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives South Carolina State a 95.9% chance of defeating Citadel. Our predicted final score has South Carolina State winning 34-13. According to our model, South Carolina State (-20.5) has a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 53.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Citadel +20.5 (-110) / South Carolina State -20.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Citadel +900, South Carolina State -2000
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-113/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: South Carolina State -20.5 @ -113 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: South Carolina State @ -2000 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 47.5 @ -113 via DraftKings

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is South Carolina State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between South Carolina State and Citadel at Oliver C. Dawson Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Citadel vs. South Carolina State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Oliver C. Dawson Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict South Carolina State, with a 95.9% win probability, will likely beat Citadel in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.