Old Dominion vs. Georgia State prediction favors Georgia State to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 57.4% win probability for Georgia State at Center Parc Stadium.

Old Dominion takes on Georgia State in College Football action.
Old Dominion vs. Georgia State college football gameday prediction for Saturday, October 3, 2026.

Georgia State will face Old Dominion in Week 5 college football action at Center Parc Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Georgia State as the most likely winner in this Old Dominion vs. Georgia State prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Old Dominion vs. Georgia State prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Old Dominion vs. Georgia State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Georgia State a 57.4% chance of beating Old Dominion. Our predicted final score has Georgia State winning 27-24. According to our model, Georgia State (-2.5) has a 52.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 52.0% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Old Dominion +2.5 (-108) / Georgia State -2.5 (-106)
  • Moneyline: Old Dominion +118, Georgia State -130
  • Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-105/-107)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Georgia State -2.5 @ -106 via FanDuel
  • Moneyline: Georgia State @ -130 via FanDuel
  • Total: Over 51.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Georgia State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Georgia State and Old Dominion at Center Parc Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Old Dominion vs. Georgia State
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
  • Venue: Center Parc Stadium

College football Week 5 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Old Dominion vs. Georgia State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:


Conclusion

We predict Georgia State, with a 57.4% win probability, will likely beat Old Dominion in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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