Temple vs. USF prediction favors South Florida to win in college football Week 5 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.0% win probability for South Florida at Raymond James Stadium.

South Florida and Temple will meet in Week 5 college football action at Raymond James Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 7:30 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects South Florida as the most likely winner in this Temple vs. USF prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Temple vs. USF prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model gives South Florida a 70.0% chance of defeating Temple. Our predicted final score has South Florida winning 27-21. According to our model, South Florida (-5.5) has a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 52.3% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Temple +5.5 (-105) / USF -5.5 (-112)
- Moneyline: Temple +190, USF -230
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-107/-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: South Florida -5.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: South Florida @ -230 via bet365
- Total: Over 48.5 @ -107 via Caesars
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 48.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between USF and Temple at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Temple vs. South Florida
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict South Florida, with a 70.0% win probability, will likely beat Temple in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



