Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State prediction: Why East Tennessee State is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives East Tennessee State a 59.0% chance of beating Chattanooga. Our predicted final score has East Tennessee State winning 29-25. According to our model, East Tennessee State (-3) has a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 53.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Chattanooga +3 (-110) / East Tennessee State -3 (-112)
• Moneyline: Chattanooga +120, East Tennessee State -149
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-112/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: East Tennessee State -3 @ -112 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: East Tennessee State @ -149 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 53.5 @ -112 via DraftKings

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 53.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between East Tennessee State and Chattanooga at William B. Greene Jr. Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: William B. Greene Jr. Stadium

College football Week 5 promos

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Conclusion

We predict East Tennessee State, with a 59.0% win probability, will likely beat Chattanooga in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.