Northern Arizona vs. Idaho State prediction: Why Idaho State is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Northern Arizona vs. Idaho State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Idaho State a 76.9% chance of beating Northern Arizona. Our predicted final score has Idaho State winning 32-23. According to our model, Idaho State (-7.5) has a 54.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 55.5 points has a 50.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Northern Arizona +7.5 (-108) / Idaho State -7.5 (-114)
• Moneyline: Northern Arizona +240, Idaho State -298
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-112/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Idaho State -7.5 @ -114 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Idaho State @ -298 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 55.5 @ -112 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Idaho State and Northern Arizona at ICCU Dome is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Northern Arizona vs. Idaho State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: ICCU Dome

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Conclusion

We predict Idaho State, with a 76.9% win probability, will likely beat Northern Arizona in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.