Fresno State vs. Washington State prediction: Why Washington State is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Fresno State vs. Washington State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Washington State a 55.6% chance of defeating Fresno State. Our predicted final score has Washington State winning 24-21. According to our model, Washington State (-1.5) has a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 54.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fresno State +1.5 (-103) / Washington State -1.5 (-114)
• Moneyline: Fresno State +107, Washington State -122
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Washington State -1.5 @ -114 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Washington State @ -122 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 44.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 44.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Washington State and Fresno State at Gesa Field at Martin Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Fresno State vs. Washington State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Gesa Field at Martin Stadium

College football Week 5 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Fresno State vs. Washington State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Washington State, with a 55.6% win probability, will likely beat Fresno State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.