UTSA vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Texas State and UTSA will clash in Week 2 college football action at UFCU Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 3:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model gives Texas State a slight edge with a 55.0% win probability over UTSA.

This article offers a complete UTSA vs. Texas State prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

UTSA vs. Texas State prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of UTSA vs. Texas State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Texas State a 55.0% chance of beating UTSA. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 33-30. According to our model, Texas State (-1.5) has a 52.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 65.5 points has a 53.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: UTSA +1.5 (-108) / Texas State -1.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: UTSA +112, Texas State -120
• Total: Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas State -1.5 @ -110 via bet365
• Moneyline: Texas State @ -120 via bet365
• Total: Under 65.5 @ -108 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 65.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Texas State and UTSA at UFCU Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: UTSA vs. Texas State
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: UFCU Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' UTSA vs. Texas State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below

Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with a 55.0% win probability, will likely beat UTSA in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.