College football player props today: Week 6 Tuesday best props include Steven Robinson [10/6/2026]

Steven Robinson anytime touchdown scorer (-115)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Southern Miss' Steven Robinson scoring an anytime touchdown. A probability of 65.8% gives this play an edge of 12.3% at -115 odds.

Steven Robinson over 64.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

Steven Robinson’s rushing yards prop shows a 62.1% probability and an 8.8% edge at -114 odds, according to our model.

Gavin Griffin under 57.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Gavin Griffin under 57.5 rushing yards, with simulations showing a 61.2% probability and an 8.0% edge at -114.

Mario Sanders over 55.5 receiving yards (-112)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 59.4%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Mario Sanders over 55.5 receiving yards, with a 59.4% probability and an edge of 6.5% at -112 odds.

Howard Kinchen receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Howard Kinchen receiving yards for Troy, showing an edge of 3.7% at -114 odds.

Mario Sanders anytime touchdown scorer (+220)

• Edge: 14.6%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

Mario Sanders’s anytime touchdown scorer prop shows an edge of 14.6% at +220 odds, supported by a 45.9% probability according to our model.

Steven Robinson score 2+ touchdowns (+490)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 25.4%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Steven Robinson score 2+ touchdowns for Southern Miss, with a 25.4% probability and a 8.4% edge at +490 odds.

TJ Lott anytime touchdown scorer (+500)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 22.8%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on TJ Lott anytime touchdown scorer, supported by a 22.8% probability at +500 odds and an edge of 6.1%.

Mario Sanders score 2+ touchdowns (+1700)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 11.2%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

A 5.6% edge on the score 2+ touchdowns line makes Mario Sanders a value play in Southern Miss vs. Troy, supported by a 11.2% probability at +1700 odds.

Mario Sanders first touchdown scorer (+1500)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 10.0%
• Game: Southern Miss vs. Troy (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Mario Sanders first touchdown scorer here, with a 10.0% probability and 3.7% edge at +1500 odds.

College Football player prop summary: Week 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:26AM ET:

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

College football promo for Week 6

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Conclusion

For October 6, 2026, our college football prop bets feature players such as Steven Robinson, Gavin Griffin and Mario Sanders. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.