Notre Dame vs. UNC prediction favors Notre Dame to win in college football Week 5 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 93.8% win probability for Notre Dame at Kenan Stadium.

Bill Belichick's North Carolina will take on the favored Notre Dame in Week 5 college football action at Kenan Stadium on Saturday, starting at 12:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Notre Dame as the most likely winner in this Notre Dame vs. UNC prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Notre Dame vs. UNC prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives Notre Dame a 93.8% chance of defeating North Carolina. Our predicted final score has Notre Dame winning 34-13. According to our model, North Carolina (+21.5) has a 51.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 52.9% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Notre Dame -21.5 (+100) / UNC +21.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Notre Dame -1650, UNC +1200
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-106)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Notre Dame -21.5 @ +100 via bet365
- Moneyline: Notre Dame @ -1650 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 46.5 @ -110 via Caesars
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 46.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between UNC and Notre Dame at Kenan Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Notre Dame vs. North Carolina
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Kenan Stadium
College football Week 5 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Notre Dame vs. North Carolina predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Notre Dame, with a 93.8% win probability, will likely beat North Carolina in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



