Maryland vs. UConn prediction: Why Maryland is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 79.8% win probability for Maryland at Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field.

Connecticut will face the favored Maryland in Week 2 college football action at Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field on Saturday, commencing at 3:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Maryland as the most likely winner in this Maryland vs. UConn prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Maryland vs. UConn prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives Maryland a 79.8% chance of beating Connecticut. Our predicted final score has Maryland winning 32-21. According to our model, Maryland (-10.5) has a 51.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 63.1% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Maryland -10.5 (+102) / UConn +10.5 (-136)
- Moneyline: Maryland -400, UConn +390
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-111/-119)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Maryland -10.5 @ +102 via FanDuel
- Moneyline: Connecticut @ +390 via BetRivers
- Total: Over 48.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 48.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between UConn and Maryland at Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Maryland vs. Connecticut
- Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
College football Week 2 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Maryland vs. Connecticut predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below
Conclusion
We predict Maryland, with a 79.8% win probability, will likely beat Connecticut in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



