College football player props today: Week 6 Friday best props include Lincoln Kienholz [10/9/2026]

Lincoln Kienholz over 25.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 19.0%
• Probability: 72.3%
• Game: Florida State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Louisville's Lincoln Kienholz over 25.5 rushing yards. A probability of 72.3% gives this play an edge of 19.0% at -114 odds.

Ousmane Kromah anytime touchdown scorer (-150)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 71.7%
• Game: Florida State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET)

Ousmane Kromah’s anytime TD prop shows a 71.7% probability and an 11.7% edge at -150 odds, according to our model.

Duce Robinson under 39.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 14.2%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Game: Florida State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Duce Robinson under 39.5 receiving yards, with simulations showing a 67.4% probability and a 14.2% edge at -114.

Micahi Danzy under 29.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 13.3%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Florida State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Micahi Danzy under 29.5 receiving yards, with a 66.6% probability and an edge of 13.3% at -114 odds.

Jaleel Skinner over 47.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 11.5%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Game: Florida State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jaleel Skinner over 47.5 receiving yards for Louisville, showing an edge of 11.5% at -114 odds.

Lawayne McCoy over 64.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Game: Florida State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET)

Lawayne McCoy’s receiving yards prop shows an edge of 10.5% at -114 odds, supported by a 63.8% probability according to our model.

Aiden Flora over 46.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Game: Iowa State vs. Brigham Young (10:15PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Aiden Flora over 46.5 rushing yards for Iowa State, with a 63.3% probability and a 10.0% edge at -114 odds.

Lincoln Kienholz anytime touchdown scorer (-120)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Game: Florida State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Lincoln Kienholz anytime touchdown scorer, supported by a 62.1% probability at -120 odds and an edge of 7.6%.

Samuel Harris over 32.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Game: Wyoming vs. San Jose State (9:00PM ET)

A 7.9% edge on the over 42.5 rushing yards line makes Samuel Harris a value play in Wyoming vs. San Jose State, supported by a 61.2% probability at -114 odds.

Caden Pinnick anytime 30.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Game: Washington State vs. Utah State (9:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Caden Pinnick anytime 30.5 rushing yards here, with a 59.8% probability and 6.6% edge at -114 odds.

College Football player prop summary: Week 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:26AM ET:

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

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Today's player props include Lincoln Kienholz over 25.5 rushing yards. Make the most of them with the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

For October 9, 2026, our college football prop bets feature players such as Lincoln Kienholz, Ousmane Kromah and Duce Robinson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.