College football player props today: Week 6 Thursday best props include Solomon Baggett [10/8/2026]

Solomon Baggett under 58.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 21.9%
• Probability: 75.1%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Arkansas State's Solomon Baggett under 58.5 rushing yards. A probability of 75.1% gives this play an edge of 21.9% at -114 odds.

Jeremiah Jones-Thomas over 3.5 receptions (-102)

• Edge: 21.0%
• Probability: 71.5%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Jeremiah Jones-Thomas’s receptions prop shows a 71.5% probability and an 21.0% edge at -102 odds, according to our model.

Ajay Allen under 64.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 13.6%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Game: Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Ajay Allen under 64.5 rushing yards, with simulations showing a 66.9% probability and a 13.6% edge at -114.

D.J. Crowther anytime touchdown scorer (-130)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: South Florida vs. UTSA (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on D.J. Crowther to score a touchdown, with a 66.8% probability and an edge of 10.2% at -130 odds.

Deshawn Purdie under 4.5 passing yards (-114)

• Edge: 12.6%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: Sam Houston State vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Deshawn Purdie under 4.5 passing yards for Liberty, showing an edge of 12.6% at -114 odds.

Hunter Summers under 81.5 receptions (-136)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Hunter Summers’s receptions prop shows an edge of 8.1% at -136 odds, supported by a 65.8% probability according to our model.

D.J. Crowther over 72.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: South Florida vs. UTSA (7:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on D.J. Crowther over 72.5 rushing yards for South Florida, with a 63.4% probability and a 10.1% edge at -114 odds.

Jonathan Stafford Jr. under 36.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Game: Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Jonathan Stafford Jr. under 36.5 receiving yards, supported by a 62.9% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 9.6%.

Jeremiah Jones-Thomas over 17.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

An 8.3% edge on the over 36.5 receiving yards line makes Jeremiah Jones-Thomas a value play in South Alabama vs. Arkansas State, supported by a 61.6% probability at -114 odds.

Jared Hollins over 43.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jared Hollins over 43.5 rushing yards here, with a 61.5% probability and 8.3% edge at -114 odds.

College Football player prop summary: Week 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:26AM ET:

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

College football promo for Week 6

Today's player props include Solomon Baggett under 58.5 rushing yards. Make the most of them with the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

For October 8, 2026, our college football prop bets feature players such as Solomon Baggett, Jeremiah Jones-Thomas and Ajay Allen. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.