College football picks today: Week 11 Thursday best bets include Memphis vs. South Florida play [11/12/2026]

South Florida +4.5 (+100)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Matchup: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on South Florida +4.5 at 50¢ odds. A 53.6% probability produces an edge of 3.6%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

South Florida ML (+186)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 38.6%
• Matchup: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

South Florida ML carries a 3.6% edge and a probability of 38.6% at 35¢ odds, according to our model.

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe Over 47.5 points (50¢)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe (9:00PM ET)

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe Over 47.5 points at 50¢ odds shows a 2.3% edge, supported by a 52.8% probability in simulations.

NCAAF best bets summary: Thursday, 11/12/2026

As of 7:34PM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Florida State vs. Pittsburgh (7:00PM ET, Friday)

College football offer for Week 11

Make the most of the picks in this article, including South Florida +4.5, with the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for November 12, 2026, featuring plays such as South Florida +4.5 vs. Memphis and South Florida ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.