Memphis vs. South Florida: College Football Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Memphis vs. South Florida prediction for Thursday, November 12, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our College Football machine learning models.
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Memphis
52
41
Raymond James Stadium
South Florida
Raymond James Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Memphis
    100%
  • South Florida
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Memphis
21 7 10 14 52
South Florida
0 17 21 3 41
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
South Florida
Memphis
1st and 10 at the MEM 19
Last Play
L.Kromenhoek pass complete. Catch made by M.Reuben for 28 yards. Tackled by MEM at MEM 19.

Memphis vs. South Florida: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: College Football Week 11

  • Teams: Memphis vs. South Florida
  • Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Memphis (-4.5, -102), South Florida (+4.5, +100)
  • Moneyline: Memphis -203, South Florida +199
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Memphis: 62.3%
  • South Florida: 37.7%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each college football matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Memphis 27-23 South Florida.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Memphis a win probability of 62.3%, while the South Florida have a win probability of 37.7%.

Summary

Memphis faces off against South Florida in college football action at Raymond James Stadium on Thursday, November 12, 2026.

Our Memphis vs. South Florida predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes college football props, college football futures, college football odds, and the latest college football news.