College football player props today: Week 11 Thursday best props include Marcus Stokes [11/12/2026]

Marcus Stokes over 240.5 passing yards (-114)

• Edge: 24.8%
• Probability: 78.1%
• Game: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Memphis' Marcus Stokes over 240.5 passing yards. A probability of 78.1% gives this play an edge of 24.8% at -114 odds.

Hunter Tipton over 39.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 23.7%
• Probability: 76.9%
• Game: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

Hunter Tipton’s receiving yards prop shows a 76.9% probability and an 23.7% edge at -114 odds, according to our model.

Stonka Burnside over 49.5 receiving yards (-112)

• Edge: 16.9%
• Probability: 69.8%
• Game: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Stonka Burnside over 49.5 receiving yards, with simulations showing a 69.8% probability and a 16.9% edge at -112.

Manny Covey over 32.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 14.0%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Manny Covey over 32.5 rushing yards, with a 67.2% probability and an edge of 14.0% at -114 odds.

JJ Garner over 54.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 13.3%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe (9:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on JJ Garner over 54.5 rushing yards for Louisiana-Lafayette, showing an edge of 13.3% at -114 odds.

Aidan Armenta over 142.5 passing yards (-114)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Game: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe (9:00PM ET)

Aidan Armenta’s passing yards prop shows an edge of 11.0% at -114 odds, supported by a 64.2% probability according to our model.

D.J. Crowther anytime touchdown scorer (-120)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on D.J. Crowther anytime touchdown scorer for South Florida, with a 63.1% probability and a 8.5% edge at -120 odds.

D.J. Crowther under 24.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 62.3%
• Game: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on D.J. Crowther under 24.5 rushing yards, supported by a 62.3% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 9.0%.

Caden Jensen over 24.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Game: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe (9:00PM ET)

An 8.5% edge on the over 24.5 receiving yards line makes Caden Jensen a value play in Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe, supported by a 61.8% probability at -114 odds.

Jason Collins Jr. rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 61.1%
• Game: Memphis vs. South Florida (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jason Collins Jr. rushing yards here, with a 61.1% probability and 7.9% edge at -114 odds.

College Football player prop summary: Week 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:41AM ET:

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

College football promo for Week 11

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Conclusion

For November 12, 2026, our college football prop bets feature players such as Marcus Stokes, Hunter Tipton and Stonka Burnside. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.