Kent State vs. Bowling Green prediction favors Bowling Green to win Week 11 MACtion clash

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Kent State vs. Bowling Green, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Bowling Green a 65.0% chance of defeating Kent State. Our predicted final score has Bowling Green winning 25-20. According to our model, Kent State (+5.5) has a 51.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 53.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Kent State +5.5 (-102) / Bowling Green -5.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Kent State +186, Bowling Green -190
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (+104/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Kent State +5.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Kent State @ 35¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 44.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 44.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Tuesday's college football matchup between Bowling Green and Kent State at Doyt L. Perry Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Kent State vs. Bowling Green
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium
• Tournament details: 2026 Emirates NBA Cup

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Conclusion

We predict Bowling Green, with a 65.0% win probability, will likely beat Kent State in Tuesday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.