Liberty vs. New Mexico State prediction favors Liberty to win in college football Week 10 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Liberty vs. New Mexico State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Liberty an 87.1% chance of beating New Mexico State. Our predicted final score has Liberty winning 31-15. According to our model, Liberty (-12.5) has a 55.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 50.2% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Liberty -12.5 (-153) / New Mexico State +12.5 (+133)
• Moneyline: Liberty -700, New Mexico State +641
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (+108/-111)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: New Mexico State +12.5 @ 43¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Liberty @ 87¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 47.5 @ 48¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between New Mexico State and Liberty at Aggie Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Liberty vs. New Mexico State
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Liberty, with an 87.1% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.